Merced County, California Housing Market

In Merced County, California, the median home value is $391,800, with a median monthly rent of $1,343. This places Merced County at #309 nationally out of 3134 counties by median home value, and #39 within California.

Median Home Value $391,800
Median Rent $1,343/mo
Owner Occupancy 54.0%
Price/Rent Ratio 24.3

📈 Price Trend (2017 → 2024)

📊 Recent Market Momentum (FHFA HPI)

FHFA House Price Index — All-Transactions, Annual (2000 = 100) · Latest: 2025

💡 Year-over-Year Trend: Home prices in Merced County rose +0.8% year-over-year as of 2025. (Source: FHFA)

📍 Economic Snapshot

💼

Employment & Wages

66,454
jobs (private sector)
  • Avg weekly wage: $999
  • Establishments: 8,455
  • BLS QCEW, 2025
🏗️

Housing Supply

780
new units authorized (2025)
  • Single-family: 697
  • Multi-family: 83
  • U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey
🚚

Migration Patterns

+2099
net migration (filers, 2021-2022)
  • Inflow: 102,377 (avg $59,727)
  • Outflow: 100,278 (avg $59,811)
  • IRS Statistics of Income

📍 Sub-Market Activity

Top 10 active ZIP codes in Merced County · Latest: 2025

# ZIP Code HPI YoY Change Latest Year
1 95316 313.8 -8.22% 2025
2 95334 344.1 -3.27% 2025
3 95324 329.3 +6.36% 2025
4 95388 384.0 +6.11% 2025
5 95322 291.3 +6.00% 2025
6 95301 332.1 +0.19% 2025
7 93635 250.0 +0.17% 2025
8 95315 345.3 +4.97% 2025
9 95360 305.9 +2.63% 2025
10 95380 348.9 +3.38% 2025

Source: FHFA HPI for Five-Digit ZIP Codes (All-Transactions Index, 2000 = 100).
This product uses FHFA Data but is neither endorsed nor certified by FHFA.

How Merced County Compares

MetricMerced CountyCalifornia AverageU.S. Average
Median Home Value $391,800 $609,221 $227,706
Median Gross Rent $1,343 $1,690 $968
Owner Occupancy Rate 54.0% 63.4% 73.3%
Price/Rent Ratio 24.3 28.5 18.7

Market Analysis

The median home value in Merced County is 35.7% below the California state average and 72.1% above the U.S. national average. The median rent of $1,343/month is 20.5% below the state average.

With a price-to-rent ratio of 24.3, renting is generally more cost-effective than buying in the short to medium term. The market favors buyers only for long-term holds.

Merced County has an owner-occupancy rate of 54.0%, compared to 63.4% in California and 73.3% nationally. This indicates a more renter-heavy market than the U.S. average.

Similar Counties by Home Value

CountyStateMedian Home ValueMedian Rent
Buncombe County North Carolina $391,800 $1,362
Custer County Colorado $392,100 $1,069
Manatee County Florida $391,400 $1,671
DuPage County Illinois $391,400 $1,688
Johnson County Kansas $391,200 $1,434

Other Counties in California

CountyMedian Home ValueMedian RentOwner Occ.
Madera County $393,200 $1,390 67.5%
Colusa County $393,400 $1,157 62.2%
Fresno County $388,800 $1,392 55.5%
Mariposa County $387,900 $1,305 74.7%
Yuba County $412,300 $1,311 63.5%

Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (ACS) 2024 5-Year Estimates (2017–2024). Variables: B25077 (Median Home Value), B25064 (Median Gross Rent), B25003 (Tenure). Data collected on 2026-10-14. The price-to-rent ratio is calculated as Median Home Value ÷ (Median Monthly Rent × 12).